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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

GFA Rumilly Vallières — Saint-Étienne

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Model prediction for 14 November

GFA Rumilly Vallières12%
Draw19%
Saint-Étienne68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Saint-Étienne are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Saint-Étienne are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
  • Saint-Étienne are 246 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • GFA Rumilly Vallières: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: GFA Rumilly Vallières — Saint-Étienne What is xG?0.8–2.2
GFA Rumilly Vallières not to lose32%
Saint-Étienne not to lose88%
No draw81%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap GFA Rumilly Vallières
  • GFA Rumilly Vallières goals
  • Saint-Étienne goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

GFA Rumilly Vallières

  • 25.10away · FC Du Foron0:0
  • 25.10away · Bourg en Bresse Péronnas3:3
  • 30.11GOAL FC1:1
  • 16.11Jura Dolois1:0
  • 26.10away · Bourg en Bresse Péronnas2:1

Saint-Étienne

  • 31.10away · Guingamp0:3
  • 24.10Nantes1:0
  • 17.10away · Red Star1:0
  • 10.10Rodez2:0
  • 19.09away · Metz2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →