Hibernian — Dundee United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hibernian are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Hibernian — No. 12, 8 pts; Dundee United — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Hibernian: winless in 5; Dundee United: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Hibernian 2 wins, Dundee United 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hibernian — Dundee United What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Hibernian not to lose | 75% | |
| Dundee United not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hibernian
- Hibernian goals
- Dundee United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Hibernian | Dundee United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.46 | 1.48 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 15.7 |
| On target | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.0 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 49 |
Form
- 28.10away · St. Mirren1:1
- 25.10Celtic1:2
- 17.10Falkirk1:2
- 10.10away · Dundee United0:1
- 19.09Aberdeen1:1
- 28.10away · Celtic2:2
- 24.10Aberdeen3:2
- 17.10away · St. Johnstone1:1
- 10.10Hibernian1:0
- 19.09away · St. Mirren3:0
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Dundee United — Hibernian1:0
- 04.02.2026Hibernian — Dundee United3:2
- 20.12.2025Dundee United — Hibernian1:1
- 13.09.2025Hibernian — Dundee United3:3
- 03.05.2025Hibernian — Dundee United3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Championship round | Dundee FC | 11 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Johnstone | 12 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 11, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | -15 | 9 |
| 12, Relegation round | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- CelticSt. Mirrenpreliminary841151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- FalkirkSt. Johnstonepreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- KilmarnockAberdeenpreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Dundee FCHeart of Midlothianpreliminary2226512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- MotherwellRangerspreliminary1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →