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Scottish Premiership, round 14 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Hibernian — Dundee United

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Model prediction for 21 November

Hibernian50%
Draw25%
Dundee United25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hibernian are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Hibernian — No. 12, 8 pts; Dundee United — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Hibernian: winless in 5; Dundee United: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Hibernian 2 wins, Dundee United 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hibernian — Dundee United What is xG?1.7–1.2
Hibernian not to lose75%
Dundee United not to lose50%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Hibernian
  • Hibernian goals
  • Dundee United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatHibernianDundee United
Goals scored per match1.01.5
Goals conceded per match1.51.5
xG per match1.461.48
Opponents’ xG1.461.44
Shots15.115.7
On target3.55.8
Corners5.96.0
Cards1.42.5
Possession, %5249

Averages per match: Hibernian — the last 10, Dundee United — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Hibernian

  • 28.10away · St. Mirren1:1
  • 25.10Celtic1:2
  • 17.10Falkirk1:2
  • 10.10away · Dundee United0:1
  • 19.09Aberdeen1:1

Dundee United

  • 28.10away · Celtic2:2
  • 24.10Aberdeen3:2
  • 17.10away · St. Johnstone1:1
  • 10.10Hibernian1:0
  • 19.09away · St. Mirren3:0

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Dundee United — Hibernian1:0
  • 04.02.2026Hibernian — Dundee United3:2
  • 20.12.2025Dundee United — Hibernian1:1
  • 13.09.2025Hibernian — Dundee United3:3
  • 03.05.2025Hibernian — Dundee United3:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Championship roundDundee FC1152417–13+417
6, Championship roundDundee United1144316–16016
7, Relegation roundSt. Johnstone1235415–19-414
11, Relegation roundKilmarnock1223713–28-159
12, Relegation roundHibernian1122711–17-68

Season 2026/27

Full table

Scottish Premiership on the same day

  • CelticSt. Mirrenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →