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Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · SOK Olympijskij

Isloch — Slavia Mozyr

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Model prediction and result

3:1Came true
Isloch63%
Draw21%
Slavia Mozyr15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Isloch to win (63%), came true.

Isloch are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Isloch are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • Isloch are 266 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Isloch: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Isloch 1 win, Slavia Mozyr 1, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Isloch — Slavia Mozyr What is xG?1.8–0.8
Isloch not to lose85%
Slavia Mozyr not to lose37%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Isloch
  • Isloch goals
  • Slavia Mozyr goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 30′Solovey A. · Slavia Mozyr0:1
  2. 56′Olaleye A. · Isloch
  3. 68′Rashchenya I. · Slavia Mozyr
  4. 68′Svirepa A. · penalty · Isloch1:1
  5. 70′Svirepa A. · Isloch2:1
  6. 93′Butko A. · Isloch3:1
Substitutions (9)
  1. 46′Stephen G. ↔ Abramishvili S. · Isloch
  2. 61′Butko A. ↔ Kovalevich M. · Isloch
  3. 62′Batyshchev O. ↔ Dzhigero A. · Slavia Mozyr
  4. 62′Shemruk A. ↔ Chernook K. · Slavia Mozyr
  5. 73′Patsko N. ↔ Olaleye A. · Isloch
  6. 73′Fadeev N. ↔ Shramchenko A. · Isloch
  7. 74′Lutsevich T. ↔ Melnikov N. · Slavia Mozyr
  8. 85′Yarmolich A. ↔ Fedorenko D. · Slavia Mozyr
  9. 86′Kravchenko Y. ↔ Fadeev N. · Isloch

Match statistics

IslochSlavia Mozyr
  • 55Possession, %45
  • 17Shots7
  • 7On target1
  • 7Corners2
  • 15Fouls8
  • 5Offsides2
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Isloch

  1. Abramishvili S.
  2. Dayyabu M.
  3. GKlimovich A.
  4. Kovalevich M.
  5. Makarenko A.
  6. Olaleye A.
  7. Shramchenko A.
  8. Skrobotov I.
  9. Svirepa A. (C)
  10. Yudchits E.
  11. Shevchenko P.

Slavia Mozyr

  1. Rashchenya I.
  2. GAbramovich E.
  3. Antilevskiy A.
  4. Chikida P. (C)
  5. Dzhigero A.
  6. Melnikov N.
  7. Shevchenko E.
  8. Solovey A.
  9. Chernook K.
  10. Fedorenko D.
  11. Yashin D.

Form

Isloch

  • 28.10ML Vitebsk1:0
  • 24.10away · Naftan6:0
  • 17.10FC Minsk4:2
  • 11.10away · Vitebsk0:0
  • 19.09Neman1:2

Slavia Mozyr

  • 25.10Zhodino4:2
  • 19.10away · Belshina4:2
  • 15.10away · Din. Minsk1:3
  • 10.10away · BATE1:2
  • 19.09Naftan0:1

Head to head

  • 20.06.2026Slavia Mozyr — Isloch0:2
  • 02.08.2025Slavia Mozyr — Isloch1:1
  • 14.03.2025Isloch — Slavia Mozyr2:2
  • 17.08.2024Isloch — Slavia Mozyr0:0
  • 07.04.2024Slavia Mozyr — Isloch2:1

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingML Vitebsk27178256–19+3759
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch27177351–21+3058
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk27184550–23+2758
9FC Minsk271041333–40-734
10Slavia Mozyr27871234–38-431
11Baranovici27871230–43-1331

Season 2026

Full table

Next matches

  • BelshinaIsloch7 November · Belarusian Premier League
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • Slavia MozyrBaranovici8 November · Belarusian Premier League
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • Din. MinskNeman
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
  • ZhodinoBelshina
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
  • ML VitebskFC Minsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 4:0. Model's score: 3:0.3.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →