Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Stadion Torpedo
Zhodino — Belshina
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Zhodino to win (58%), came true.
Zhodino are clear favourites: 58% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zhodino are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Zhodino are 209 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Zhodino 2 wins, Belshina 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zhodino — Belshina What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Zhodino not to lose | 81% | |
| Belshina not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Belshina goals
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Match events
- 10′Lomovitskiy A. · Zhodino1:0
- 14′Pobudey V. · Zhodino
- 15′Solanovich V. · own goal · Zhodino2:0
- 45′Frantsuzov A. · Zhodino3:0
- 48′Sokolovskiy N. · Belshina
- 48′Zaleskiy A. · Zhodino
- 70′Sokolovskiy N. · Belshina
Substitutions (9)
- 24′Kovalev V. ↔ Lazarev D. · Belshina
- 37′Seleznev P. ↔ Kozlov Y. · Belshina
- 46′Shvedchikov A. ↔ Golub N. · Belshina
- 61′Zgurskiy L. ↔ Kovalev V. · Belshina
- 69′Yusov D. ↔ Frantsuzov A. · Zhodino
- 69′Nalivayko V. ↔ Sharkovskiy T. · Zhodino
- 76′Ladutko M. ↔ Zhulpa D. · Zhodino
- 76′Gaevoy M. ↔ Bykov A. · Zhodino
- 82′Martyanov G. ↔ Melko V. · Zhodino
Match statistics
ZhodinoBelshina
- 55Possession, %45
- 18Shots8
- 10On target5
- 5Corners2
- 13Fouls8
- 0Offsides0
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
Lineups
Zhodino
- Frantsuzov A.
- GIgnatovich S.
- Pobudey V.
- Premudrov K. (C)
- Zhulpa D.
- Zaleskiy A.
- Bykov A.
- Chagovets Y.
- Melko V.
- Sharkovskiy T.
- Lomovitskiy A.
Belshina
- Achapovskiy A.
- Davydov V.
- Golub N.
- GPrishivalko P.
- Rusenchik V.
- Solanovich V. (C)
- Vikhrov I.
- Sokolovskiy N.
- Kozlov Y.
- Lazarev D.
- Yakushevich G.
Form
- 25.10away · Slavia Mozyr2:4
- 19.10Naftan1:0
- 15.10away · ML Vitebsk0:2
- 10.10away · FC Minsk1:0
- 20.09away · Vitebsk0:6
- 28.10Din. Minsk2:3
- 24.10away · BATE1:0
- 19.10Slavia Mozyr2:4
- 10.10away · Naftan1:4
- 18.09FC Minsk2:0
Head to head
- 20.06.2026Belshina — Zhodino0:2
- 19.08.2023Zhodino — Belshina1:1
- 08.04.2023Belshina — Zhodino0:0
- 11.09.2022Belshina — Zhodino1:3
- 30.04.2022Zhodino — Belshina1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vitebsk | 27 | 11 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Zhodino | 27 | 10 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Minsk | 27 | 10 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 27 | 6 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Belshina | 27 | 6 | -22 | 24 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Dnepr Mogilev | 27 | 4 | -15 | 23 |
Next matches
- BelshinaIsloch7 November · Belarusian Premier League1122672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- BATEZhodino7 November · Belarusian Premier League3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 6321151The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 5324241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 781661The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 3:0.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →