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Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Stadion Dinamo

Din. Minsk — Neman

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Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
Din. Minsk53%
Draw24%
Neman24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Din. Minsk to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Din. Minsk are clear favourites: 53% against 24% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
  • Din. Minsk are 240 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Din. Minsk: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Din. Minsk 2 wins, Neman 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Din. Minsk — Neman What is xG?1.5–0.9
Din. Minsk not to lose76%
Neman not to lose47%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Din. Minsk
  • Din. Minsk goals
  • Neman goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 13′Kalinin V. · own goal · Neman0:1
  2. 33′Vakulich A. · Din. Minsk
  3. 89′Pushnyakov S. · Neman
  4. 93′Suchkov A. · Neman
Substitutions (9)
  1. 46′Poloz V. ↔ Sokolovskiy A. · Din. Minsk
  2. 58′Alykulov G. ↔ Malashevich E. · Din. Minsk
  3. 69′Suchkov A. ↔ Spataru D. · Neman
  4. 69′Yakimov A. ↔ Kozlov M. · Neman
  5. 70′Toure A. ↔ Vakulich A. · Din. Minsk
  6. 70′Ivanov A. ↔ Gurban G. · Din. Minsk
  7. 77′Ratkovic A. ↔ Savitskiy P. · Neman
  8. 79′Tonkevich V. ↔ Pavlyukovets Y. · Neman
  9. 88′Gweth L. ↔ Vardanyan K. · Din. Minsk

Match statistics

Din. MinskNeman
  • 60Possession, %40
  • 13Shots11
  • 3On target2
  • 6Corners9
  • 6Fouls16
  • 8Offsides0
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Din. Minsk

  1. Abdullahi F.
  2. Begunov R. (C)
  3. Kalinin V.
  4. Selyava A.
  5. Sokolovskiy A.
  6. Vardanyan K.
  7. Djimet M.
  8. Malashevich E.
  9. GKudravets A.
  10. Vakulich A.
  11. Gurban G.

Neman

  1. Evdokimov O.
  2. Kozlov M.
  3. Savitskiy P. (C)
  4. Spataru D.
  5. Vasiljev A.
  6. Girs D.
  7. Jimoh S.
  8. GMatysyuk N.
  9. Pushnyakov S.
  10. Lisakovich R.
  11. Pavlyukovets Y.

Form

Din. Minsk

  • 28.10away · Belshina3:2
  • 24.10away · FC Gomel2:1
  • 19.10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2:0
  • 15.10Slavia Mozyr3:1
  • 11.10away · Dnepr Mogilev3:2

Neman

  • 25.10Dynamo Brest1:4
  • 18.10away · ML Vitebsk0:1
  • 14.10away · BATE2:0
  • 10.10Baranovici3:0
  • 19.09away · Isloch2:1

Head to head

  • 21.06.2026Neman — Din. Minsk1:3
  • 29.10.2025Neman — Din. Minsk0:0
  • 18.06.2025Din. Minsk — Neman0:1
  • 11.11.2024Neman — Din. Minsk0:0
  • 23.06.2024Din. Minsk — Neman2:1

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch27177351–21+3058
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk27184550–23+2758
4Dynamo Brest27155748–27+2150
5Neman27144933–25+846
6FC Gomel27117938–29+940

Season 2026

Full table

Next matches

  • VitebskDin. Minsk7 November · Belarusian Premier League
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
  • NemanDnepr Mogilev8 November · Belarusian Premier League
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • IslochSlavia Mozyr
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
  • ZhodinoBelshina
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
  • ML VitebskFC Minsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 4:0. Model's score: 3:0.3.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →