J1 League (Japan), round 14 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Kashiwa Reysol are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kashiwa Reysol are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Kashiwa Reysol are 148 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kashiwa Reysol — No. 4, 28 pts; Kawasaki Frontale — No. 7, 22 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kashiwa Reysol 1 win, Kawasaki Frontale 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale What is xG? | 1.7–1.3 | |
| Kashiwa Reysol not to lose | 70% | |
| Kawasaki Frontale not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Kawasaki Frontale goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kashiwa Reysol | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.44 | 1.68 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.37 | 1.35 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 15.0 |
| On target | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 52 |
Form
- 31.10Urawa Red Diamonds4:0
- 24.10away · Kashima Antlers3:2
- 21.10away · FC Tokyo0:0
- 17.10Nagoya Grampus1:3
- 09.10Vissel Kobe4:2
- 01.11away · Yokohama F.Marinos2:4
- 25.10Fagiano Okayama FC2:1
- 21.10Vissel Kobe2:1
- 17.10away · Cerezo Osaka4:2
- 11.10Nagoya Grampus1:2
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale1:0
- 08.02.2026Kawasaki Frontale — Kashiwa Reysol5:3
- 28.09.2025Kawasaki Frontale — Kashiwa Reysol4:4
- 22.02.2025Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale1:1
- 20.07.2024Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | +20 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | +9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 13 | 5 | +6 | 21 |
J1 League on the same day
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →