Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Kellermann — Metz
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metz are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Metz are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Metz are 219 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kellermann — Metz What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| Kellermann not to lose | 35% | |
| Metz not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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Team news
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →