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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Le Puy — Diables Noirs de Combani

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Model prediction for 14 November

Le Puy80%
Draw14%
Diables Noirs de Combani6%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Le Puy are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 14%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Le Puy are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
  • Le Puy are 466 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Le Puy: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Le Puy — Diables Noirs de Combani What is xG?2.7–0.7
Le Puy not to lose94%
Diables Noirs de Combani not to lose20%
No draw86%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.567%
Total under 2.533%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Le Puy
  • Le Puy goals
  • Diables Noirs de Combani goals
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  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Le Puy

  • 24.10away · Ambert Livradois Sud4:0
  • 10.01Reims0:0
  • 21.12Bordeaux1:0
  • 29.11away · FC Chalon1:0
  • 15.11away · Dijon ASPTT1:0

Diables Noirs de Combani

  • 20.11away · Corte0:2
  • 16.11away · US Crépy en Valois0:0
  • 29.10away · Annecy FC1:8

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →