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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Le Touquet — Avranches

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Model prediction for 14 November

Le Touquet29%
Draw26%
Avranches45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Avranches are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Avranches are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Le Touquet — Avranches What is xG?1.2–1.6
Le Touquet not to lose55%
Avranches not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Avranches goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Le Touquet

  • 25.10away · La Montoye0:0
  • 30.11RC Calais0:1
  • 17.11Amiens Portugais1:1
  • 26.10Saint-Quentin3:2
  • 16.11away · Gonfreville0:1

Avranches

  • 24.10away · Yvetot AC4:0
  • 10.01Strasbourg0:6
  • 19.12Brest1:1
  • 30.11CM Aubervilliers1:1
  • 15.11Paris 13 Atlético0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →