Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Lourdes FC — Pau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pau are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pau are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Pau are 253 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Pau: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lourdes FC — Pau What is xG? | 0.8–2.2 | |
| Lourdes FC not to lose | 31% | |
| Pau not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Lourdes FC
- Lourdes FC goals
- Pau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
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- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →