Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Manta — Delfín
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Manta are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Manta 1 win, Delfín 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Manta — Delfín What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Manta not to lose | 71% | |
| Delfín not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Manta
- Manta goals
- Delfín goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Manta | Delfín |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.3 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 56 |
Form
- 03.11away · Mushuc Runa3:2
- 24.10Deportivo Cuenca0:2
- 18.10away · Delfín2:4
- 10.10Técnico Universitario1:0
- 21.09Orense2:1
- 31.10Deportivo Cuenca3:1
- 24.10away · Orense0:4
- 18.10Manta4:2
- 09.10Mushuc Runa3:2
- 20.09away · Técnico Universitario1:1
Head to head
- 18.10.2026Delfín — Manta4:2
- 15.07.2026Manta — Delfín0:1
- 15.03.2026Delfín — Manta0:1
- 28.06.2025Delfín — Manta2:0
- 04.03.2025Manta — Delfín2:2
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Independiente del ValleCSD Macarápreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- LDU de QuitoAucaspreliminary5627181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Universidad Católica (ECU)Barcelona SCpreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- OrenseMushuc Runapreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Técnico UniversitarioDeportivo Cuencapreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →