Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Técnico Universitario — Deportivo Cuenca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Técnico Universitario are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Técnico Universitario higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Técnico Universitario 1 win, Deportivo Cuenca 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Técnico Universitario — Deportivo Cuenca What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| Técnico Universitario not to lose | 73% | |
| Deportivo Cuenca not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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- Deportivo Cuenca goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Técnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 14.2 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 6.0 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 46 |
Form
- 02.11away · Orense1:1
- 26.10Mushuc Runa3:0
- 16.10away · Deportivo Cuenca1:2
- 10.10away · Manta0:1
- 20.09Delfín1:1
- 31.10away · Delfín1:3
- 24.10away · Manta2:0
- 16.10Técnico Universitario2:1
- 11.10away · Orense0:0
- 21.09Mushuc Runa1:1
Head to head
- 16.10.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario2:1
- 29.08.2026Técnico Universitario — Deportivo Cuenca3:1
- 02.05.2026Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario2:1
- 14.09.2025Técnico Universitario — Deportivo Cuenca0:2
- 17.05.2025Deportivo Cuenca — Técnico Universitario2:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Independiente del ValleCSD Macarápreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- LDU de QuitoAucaspreliminary5627181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Universidad Católica (ECU)Barcelona SCpreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- OrenseMushuc Runapreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- MantaDelfínpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →