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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Montigny les Metz — CA Pontarlier

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Model prediction for 14 November

Montigny les Metz29%
Draw26%
CA Pontarlier45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CA Pontarlier are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings CA Pontarlier are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Montigny les Metz — CA Pontarlier What is xG?1.2–1.6
Montigny les Metz not to lose55%
CA Pontarlier not to lose71%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Montigny les Metz
  • Montigny les Metz goals
  • CA Pontarlier goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Montigny les Metz

  • 25.10Dossenheim1:1
  • 27.10Reims Sainte-Anne0:1

CA Pontarlier

  • 25.10away · Valdahon Vercel1:0
  • 15.11Sochaux2:2
  • 25.10FC Sens8:0
  • 07.01Lyon0:3
  • 09.12away · Sarre-Union0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →