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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Montreuil sur Mer — Loon Plage

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Model prediction for 14 November

Montreuil sur Mer31%
Draw26%
Loon Plage43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Loon Plage are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Montreuil sur Mer — Loon Plage What is xG?1.3–1.5
Montreuil sur Mer not to lose57%
Loon Plage not to lose69%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Montreuil sur Mer
  • Montreuil sur Mer goals
  • Loon Plage goals
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  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Montreuil sur Mer

  • 25.10away · Villers Bretonneux2:0

Loon Plage

  • 25.10away · Calais Beau Marais7:0
  • 15.11Bethune1:1
  • 26.10away · Nogent-sur-Oise US2:1
  • 18.11Caen0:3
  • 29.10away · Raismes FC1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →