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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Neuvillette Jamin — Valenciennes

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Model prediction for 14 November

Neuvillette Jamin16%
Draw22%
Valenciennes62%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Valenciennes are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Valenciennes are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Valenciennes are 181 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Valenciennes: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Neuvillette Jamin — Valenciennes What is xG?0.9–2.0
Neuvillette Jamin not to lose38%
Valenciennes not to lose84%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Neuvillette Jamin
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  • Valenciennes goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Neuvillette Jamin

  • 25.10away · ES Coteaux Sud2:0
  • 31.10Champigneulles0:9

Valenciennes

  • 24.10away · Gravelines2:0
  • 14.01away · Le Mans1:1
  • 22.12away · Thionville Lusitanos2:2
  • 30.11Neuilly-sur-Marne4:3
  • 16.11away · Arras2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →