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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Paray — Villefranche Beaujolais

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Model prediction for 14 November

Paray22%
Draw25%
Villefranche Beaujolais53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Villefranche Beaujolais are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Villefranche Beaujolais are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Villefranche Beaujolais are 98 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Paray — Villefranche Beaujolais What is xG?1.1–1.8
Paray not to lose47%
Villefranche Beaujolais not to lose78%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Paray

  • 24.10Jura Dolois1:0

Villefranche Beaujolais

  • 24.10away · AS Domarin1:1
  • 16.11away · Grenoble1:1
  • 26.10away · St Priest2:1
  • 17.11Grenoble1:2
  • 29.10away · Mozac US2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →