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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Paris 13 Atlético — Red Star

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Model prediction for 14 November

Paris 13 Atlético13%
Draw20%
Red Star67%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Red Star are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Red Star are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
  • Red Star are 208 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Paris 13 Atlético: unbeaten in 4; Red Star: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Paris 13 Atlético — Red Star What is xG?0.9–2.2
Paris 13 Atlético not to lose33%
Red Star not to lose87%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Paris 13 Atlético
  • Paris 13 Atlético goals
  • Red Star goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Paris 13 Atlético

  • 25.10away · Brétigny FCS1:0
  • 15.11away · Avranches0:0
  • 26.10away · Sarcelles AAS3:2
  • 27.10away · Brétigny FCS2:2
  • 19.11away · Linas Montlhery1:2

Red Star

  • 02.11Nancy1:4
  • 26.10away · Montpellier1:2
  • 17.10Saint-Étienne0:1
  • 10.10away · Clermont Foot3:2
  • 19.09away · Guingamp3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →