Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Racing Besançon — APM Metz
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Racing Besançon are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Racing Besançon are 97 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Besançon — APM Metz What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Racing Besançon not to lose | 68% | |
| APM Metz not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Racing Besançon
- Racing Besançon goals
- APM Metz goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 24.10Saint-Vit2:1
- 29.11away · Freyming0:1
- 15.11Thionville Lusitanos4:0
- 26.10away · Haute Lizaine4:0
- 16.10ASM Belfort1:4
- 25.10away · Sarre-Union2:1
- 29.11Feignies Aulnoye0:2
- 15.11FC Fleury 912:2
- 26.10Amanvillers6:2
- 18.11away · Sarre-Union0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →