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Brazilian Serie A, round 35 · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Remo — Chapecoense

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Model prediction for 19 November

Remo58%
Draw25%
Chapecoense17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Remo are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Remo are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Remo are 219 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Remo — No. 19, 29 pts; Chapecoense — No. 20, 21 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 3 meetings: Remo 1 win, Chapecoense 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Remo — Chapecoense What is xG?1.8–0.9
Remo not to lose83%
Chapecoense not to lose42%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Remo
  • Remo goals
  • Chapecoense goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatRemoChapecoense
Goals scored per match0.90.9
Goals conceded per match1.42.2
xG per match1.010.98
Opponents’ xG1.761.83
Shots15.112.6
On target4.03.8
Corners6.74.2
Cards2.12.6
Possession, %4544

Averages per match: Remo — the last 10, Chapecoense — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Remo

  • 29.10Botafogo2:1
  • 24.10away · Cruzeiro0:1
  • 19.10RB Bragantino1:1
  • 11.10away · Vasco da Gama0:0
  • 08.10Grêmio1:1

Chapecoense

  • 04.11Mirassol1:2
  • 29.10away · RB Bragantino0:3
  • 25.10Fluminense2:1
  • 18.10away · Botafogo0:1
  • 13.10Athletico Paranaense1:4

Head to head

  • 18.05.2026Chapecoense — Remo2:3
  • 03.11.2025Remo — Chapecoense1:1
  • 14.07.2025Chapecoense — Remo1:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
18, RelegationCorinthians33991536–42-636
19, RelegationRemo336111636–51-1529
20, RelegationChapecoense33492033–68-3521

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

  • CoritibaSantospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
  • FlamengoAthletico Paranaensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
  • CruzeiroPalmeiraspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • CorinthiansBotafogopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • GrêmioBahiapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →