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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Sedan — Bourges Foot 18

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Model prediction for 14 November

Sedan49%
Draw26%
Bourges Foot 1826%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sedan are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sedan are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Sedan are 173 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Bourges Foot 18: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sedan — Bourges Foot 18 What is xG?1.7–1.1
Sedan not to lose74%
Bourges Foot 18 not to lose51%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Sedan
  • Sedan goals
  • Bourges Foot 18 goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Sedan

  • 25.10away · Vitry FC5:0
  • 16.10away · Reims Sainte-Anne1:5
  • 14.11Paris FC2:2
  • 31.10Épinal2:2
  • 07.04Angers0:1

Bourges Foot 18

  • 25.10away · US Mer3:0
  • 08.01away · Chamalières0:0
  • 19.11St-Pryve St-Hilaire1:1
  • 29.10AS St Apollinaire0:0
  • 16.10Chateauneuf sur Loire5:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →