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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

SP.C. Massay — FC Montlouis

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Model prediction for 14 November

SP.C. Massay46%
Draw26%
FC Montlouis28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

SP.C. Massay are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings SP.C. Massay are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • SP.C. Massay are 135 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SP.C. Massay — FC Montlouis What is xG?1.6–1.2
SP.C. Massay not to lose72%
FC Montlouis not to lose54%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap SP.C. Massay
  • SP.C. Massay goals
  • FC Montlouis goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

SP.C. Massay

  • 25.10away · FC Deolois4:1

FC Montlouis

  • 25.10UF Touraine2:1
  • 26.10away · UF Touraine0:1
  • 26.10away · Tours1:2
  • 18.11Bergerac Perigord0:4
  • 29.10away · US Petite Beauce2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →