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Segunda Division, round 15 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Sporting Gijón — Las Palmas

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Model prediction for 22 November

Sporting Gijón50%
Draw27%
Las Palmas23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sporting Gijón are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sporting Gijón are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Sporting Gijón are 91 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Sporting Gijón — No. 6, 22 pts; Las Palmas — No. 11, 17 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Las Palmas: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sporting Gijón 0 wins, Las Palmas 3, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sporting Gijón — Las Palmas What is xG?1.5–1.0
Sporting Gijón not to lose77%
Las Palmas not to lose50%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sporting Gijón
  • Sporting Gijón goals
  • Las Palmas goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatSporting GijónLas Palmas
Goals scored per match1.21.3
Goals conceded per match1.32.0
xG per match1.170.83
Opponents’ xG1.131.66
Shots12.29.6
On target4.13.5
Corners3.84.2
Cards3.23.3
Possession, %5150

Averages per match: Sporting Gijón — the last 10, Las Palmas — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sporting Gijón

  • 01.11away · AD Ceuta FC2:0
  • 29.10away · Guijuelo3:1
  • 25.10away · Castellón0:4
  • 17.10Albacete2:1
  • 11.10away · Cádiz1:0

Las Palmas

  • 02.11away · Real Oviedo3:2
  • 27.10away · RSD Alcalá3:1
  • 24.10Real Sociedad B1:0
  • 17.10Castellón0:3
  • 11.10away · Mallorca1:3

Head to head

  • 22.03.2026Las Palmas — Sporting Gijón1:0
  • 02.11.2025Sporting Gijón — Las Palmas0:0
  • 26.03.2023Las Palmas — Sporting Gijón1:1
  • 03.12.2022Sporting Gijón — Las Palmas0:1
  • 29.05.2022Sporting Gijón — Las Palmas0:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Promotion play-offsMallorca1264215–7+822
6, Promotion play-offsSporting Gijón1271413–13022
7Girona1263322–11+1121
10Sabadell1245312–11+117
11Las Palmas1252517–21-417
12Córdoba1251619–22-316

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • CórdobaReal Oviedopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • Celta FortunaReal Valladolidpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
  • GironaEibarpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • Burgos CFAlbacetepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →