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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

St Omer — AF Virois

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Model prediction for 14 November

St Omer30%
Draw26%
AF Virois43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

AF Virois are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings AF Virois are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St Omer — AF Virois What is xG?1.2–1.5
St Omer not to lose57%
AF Virois not to lose70%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap St Omer
  • St Omer goals
  • AF Virois goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

St Omer

  • 25.10away · Château Etampes3:2
  • 26.10Croix0:2
  • 17.11US Noyelles1:1
  • 27.10away · Maximin1:0
  • 06.01Dunkerque2:3

AF Virois

  • 25.10away · FR Saint Marcel2:0
  • 29.10away · Avranches0:0
  • 07.01Nantes0:2
  • 21.12Caen3:0
  • 30.10away · Havre Caucriauville4:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →