Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Stade Castelbourgeois — Nantes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nantes are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nantes are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Nantes are 228 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Nantes: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Stade Castelbourgeois — Nantes What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| Stade Castelbourgeois not to lose | 31% | |
| Nantes not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Stade Castelbourgeois
- Stade Castelbourgeois goals
- Nantes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 30.10Clermont Foot1:1
- 24.10away · Saint-Étienne0:1
- 17.10Dunkerque2:3
- 10.10Reims0:0
- 19.09away · Boulogne2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →