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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Tourcoing US — Reims

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Model prediction for 14 November

Tourcoing US7%
Draw14%
Reims80%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Reims are clear favourites: 80% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Reims are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
  • Reims are 395 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Reims: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tourcoing US — Reims What is xG?0.7–2.7
Tourcoing US not to lose20%
Reims not to lose93%
No draw86%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.566%
Total under 2.534%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Tourcoing US
  • Tourcoing US goals
  • Reims goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Tourcoing US

  • 25.10Biache St Vaast4:1
  • 26.10Amiens Portugais1:4
  • 27.10away · US Pays de Cassel1:2
  • 14.11Valenciennes0:2
  • 30.10away · OM Aire sur La Lys1:1

Reims

  • 02.11Sochaux2:0
  • 26.10away · Boulogne1:1
  • 16.10Dijon4:2
  • 10.10away · Nantes0:0
  • 18.09Montpellier1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →