Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
US Choisy au Bac — Caen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Caen are clear favourites: 51% against 24% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Caen are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Caen are 90 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Choisy au Bac — Caen What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| US Choisy au Bac not to lose | 49% | |
| Caen not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap US Choisy au Bac
- US Choisy au Bac goals
- Caen goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 25.10US Lesquin2:0
- 26.10away · Longuenesse1:4
- 19.11away · Douvres La Delivrande1:2
- 29.10away · ESC Coulogne2:0
- 24.10away · ST Lo Manche2:0
- 15.11away · Bayeux2:3
- 25.10away · Alizay4:0
- 10.05away · SC Bastia1:2
- 02.05Red Star1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- Garde Saint-Ivy PontivyRennes TApreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- COBSP St BrieucRouenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Saint-RenanLavalpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LannionGuingamppreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- VitréSaint Pierre Milizacpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- St PontivyenPlabennecpreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Tinteniac FCConcarneaupreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- Perros LouannecVannespreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →