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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

US Saint Philbert — La Roche VF

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Model prediction for 14 November

US Saint Philbert34%
Draw27%
La Roche VF40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: US Saint Philbert 34%, La Roche VF 40%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: US Saint Philbert — La Roche VF What is xG?1.3–1.4
US Saint Philbert not to lose60%
La Roche VF not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap US Saint Philbert
  • US Saint Philbert goals
  • La Roche VF goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

US Saint Philbert

  • 24.10La Suze4:0
  • 22.12Quevilly0:2
  • 30.11Pau1:1
  • 16.11Thouars Foot 793:0
  • 26.10Chataigneraie2:2

La Roche VF

  • 25.10away · US Changé2:1
  • 25.10away · Orvault Sports1:1
  • 21.12Brest0:1
  • 29.11away · Orléans1:1
  • 16.11away · Cazaux Olympique6:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →