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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

US Vandoeuvre — Épinal

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Model prediction for 14 November

US Vandoeuvre25%
Draw25%
Épinal50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Épinal are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Épinal are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Épinal are 71 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: US Vandoeuvre — Épinal What is xG?1.1–1.7
US Vandoeuvre not to lose50%
Épinal not to lose75%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

US Vandoeuvre

  • 24.10Centre Ornain0:0
  • 31.01away · St Meziery1:1
  • 07.12Red Star2:3
  • 17.11Lunéville2:0
  • 27.10away · Cote des Blancs2:0

Épinal

  • 25.10away · Cormontreuil2:1
  • 26.10away · St Meziery0:1
  • 16.11Nancy2:4
  • 27.10away · Villers-Outreaux1:0
  • 09.12away · St Omer1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →