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Coupe de France, round 7 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Vesoul — FC Fleury 91

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Model prediction for 14 November

Vesoul23%
Draw25%
FC Fleury 9152%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Fleury 91 are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Fleury 91 are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • FC Fleury 91 are 80 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • FC Fleury 91: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vesoul — FC Fleury 91 What is xG?1.1–1.7
Vesoul not to lose48%
FC Fleury 91 not to lose77%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Vesoul
  • Vesoul goals
  • FC Fleury 91 goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Vesoul

  • 24.10away · Chevigny Saint Sauveur0:0
  • 16.11Annecy FC1:6
  • 27.10away · Exincourt5:0
  • 28.10Louhans Cuiseaux0:1

FC Fleury 91

  • 25.10away · Cergy Pontoise3:1
  • 15.11away · APM Metz2:2
  • 26.10away · Argenteuil6:1
  • 16.11Amiens1:1
  • 27.10away · St Denis US4:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →