VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Almetyevsk — HC Norilsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Almetyevsk — No. 3, 30 pts; HC Norilsk — No. 2, 32 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Almetyevsk: 5 wins in a row; HC Norilsk: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Almetyevsk 2 wins, HC Norilsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almetyevsk — HC Norilsk | 2.7–1.9 | |
| Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| HC Norilsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Almetyevsk
- Almetyevsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Ryazan2:1
- 25.10away · Bars2:0
- 21.10CSK VVS3:2 OT
- 14.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:1 SO
- 12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
- 03.11Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2 SO
- 01.11Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 30.10Khimik5:4
- 25.10away · Gornyak2:0
- 23.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
Head to head
- 17.12.2025Almetyevsk — HC Norilsk3:4 OT
- 17.11.2025HC Norilsk — Almetyevsk2:0
- 27.12.2024HC Norilsk — Almetyevsk1:2
- 17.11.2024Almetyevsk — HC Norilsk1:2
- 18.02.2024Almetyevsk — HC Norilsk3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 20 | 17 | +28 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 22 | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 3, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 19 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs | AKM | 21 | 12 | +13 | 29 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskBuran Voronezhpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- Magnitka MagnitogorskTambovpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskDizelpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- BarsMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Dinamo St. PetersburgOmskie Kryliapreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Zvezda MoscowKurganpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CSK VVSKrasnoyarskpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KalugaRyazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →