VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Orsk — Dizel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Orsk 48%, Dizel 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 25%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Orsk — No. 6, 28 pts; Dizel — No. 25, 15 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Dizel: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Orsk 1 win, Dizel 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Orsk 12, Dizel 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orsk — Dizel | 2.0–2.0 | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 25% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 75% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Orsk
- Orsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Rubin Tyumen4:3 SO
- 01.11away · Kurgan3:4 OT
- 30.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3 SO
- 25.10Dyn. Altay3:4 OT
- 23.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1
- 01.11Olympia4:5 SO
- 23.10Tambov1:2
- 21.10Buran Voronezh0:4
- 17.10away · HC Yugra0:3
- 15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Orsk — Dizel0:3
- 16.09.2025Dizel — Orsk4:0
- 21.02.2025Dizel — Orsk2:1 OT
- 02.10.2024Orsk — Dizel4:0
- 28.11.2023Dizel — Orsk3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Perm | 19 | 14 | +24 | 28 |
| 6, Playoffs | Orsk | 19 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 24 | Dyn. Altay | 19 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskBuran Voronezhpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- Magnitka MagnitogorskTambovpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- BarsMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Dinamo St. PetersburgOmskie Kryliapreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Zvezda MoscowKurganpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CSK VVSKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- AlmetyevskHC Norilskpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.6
- KalugaRyazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →