VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Buran Voronezh
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 51%, Buran Voronezh 49% including overtime.
4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts; Buran Voronezh — No. 11, 24 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Buran Voronezh: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3 wins, Buran Voronezh 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 11, Buran Voronezh 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Buran Voronezh | 2.4–2.3 | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
- 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 23.10HC Norilsk1:2
- 01.11Izhevsk1:2
- 28.10Olympia1:5
- 23.10away · Kristall Saratov2:4
- 21.10away · Dizel4:0
- 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Buran Voronezh1:3
- 31.10.2025Buran Voronezh — Chelmet Chelyabinsk1:2 OT
- 20.01.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Buran Voronezh2:1
- 29.10.2024Buran Voronezh — Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:5 SO
- 08.12.2023Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Buran Voronezh3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- Magnitka MagnitogorskTambovpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskDizelpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- BarsMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Dinamo St. PetersburgOmskie Kryliapreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Zvezda MoscowKurganpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CSK VVSKrasnoyarskpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
- AlmetyevskHC Norilskpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
- KalugaRyazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →