VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Kaluga — Ryazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Kaluga 53%, Ryazan 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 22%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Kaluga — No. 9, 26 pts; Ryazan — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Kaluga: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Ryazan | 2.0–1.8 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 22% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 78% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:2
- 26.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg0:3
- 24.10away · Zvezda Moscow2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Khimik3:2 SO
- 18.10Gornyak1:3
- 03.11Almetyevsk1:2
- 31.10Bars2:1
- 24.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:4
- 22.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 20.10away · Zvezda Moscow3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskBuran Voronezhpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- Magnitka MagnitogorskTambovpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskDizelpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- BarsMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Dinamo St. PetersburgOmskie Kryliapreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Zvezda MoscowKurganpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CSK VVSKrasnoyarskpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
- AlmetyevskHC Norilskpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →