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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Dinamo St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia

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Model prediction for 15 November

Dinamo St. Petersburg29%
Draw in regulation22%
Omskie Krylia49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Omskie Krylia are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 19, 19 pts; Omskie Krylia — No. 1, 34 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
  • Omskie Krylia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dinamo St. Petersburg 2 wins, Omskie Krylia 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia2.0–2.6
Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dinamo St. Petersburg
  • Dinamo St. Petersburg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dinamo St. Petersburg

  • 03.11away · HC Norilsk2:3 SO
  • 26.10Kaluga3:0
  • 24.10AKM2:1 SO
  • 22.10Ryazan3:4 OT
  • 14.10away · Bars2:4

Omskie Krylia

  • 04.11Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
  • 02.11Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:0
  • 30.10Orsk3:2 SO
  • 24.10away · Perm3:2
  • 22.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:0

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Omskie Krylia — Dinamo St. Petersburg4:2
  • 15.09.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia3:4 OT
  • 10.01.2025Omskie Krylia — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:1
  • 13.11.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia5:0
  • 03.02.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia20170354–26+2834
2, PlayoffsHC Norilsk22152557–47+1032
18Gornyak1792642–39+320
19Dinamo St. Petersburg1883749–54-519
20Rubin Tyumen1983843–53-1019

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • OrskDizelpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
  • KalugaRyazanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →