VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Zvezda Moscow — Kurgan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zvezda Moscow are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- Zvezda Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Zvezda Moscow — No. 26, 15 pts; Kurgan — No. 27, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Zvezda Moscow 2 wins, Kurgan 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Zvezda Moscow 11, Kurgan 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zvezda Moscow — Kurgan | 2.5–2.0 | |
| Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Zvezda Moscow
- Zvezda Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Krasnoyarsk1:2
- 01.11away · HC Norilsk2:5
- 24.10Kaluga3:2 OT
- 22.10AKM4:3 OT
- 20.10Ryazan2:3
- 01.11Orsk4:3 OT
- 26.10away · Perm1:3
- 24.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:4
- 22.10away · Izhevsk4:2
- 20.10away · Olympia1:3
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Zvezda Moscow — Kurgan2:3 OT
- 27.10.2025Kurgan — Zvezda Moscow1:3
- 14.01.2025Kurgan — Zvezda Moscow5:7
- 05.11.2024Zvezda Moscow — Kurgan1:3
- 07.03.2024Kurgan — Zvezda Moscow5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 18 | 5 | -18 | 14 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskBuran Voronezhpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- Magnitka MagnitogorskTambovpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskDizelpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- BarsMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.1
- Dinamo St. PetersburgOmskie Kryliapreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- CSK VVSKrasnoyarskpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.4
- AlmetyevskHC Norilskpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.6
- KalugaRyazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →