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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Tambov

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Model prediction for 15 November

Magnitka Magnitogorsk45%
Draw in regulation23%
Tambov32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Magnitka Magnitogorsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 23, 16 pts; Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 3 wins, Tambov 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Tambov2.5–2.1
Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Magnitka Magnitogorsk
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Form

Magnitka Magnitogorsk

  • 02.11away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 27.10Dyn. Altay2:3
  • 25.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:3
  • 23.10Krasnoyarsk2:3 SO
  • 21.10HC Norilsk2:3 OT

Tambov

  • 03.11Izhevsk5:1
  • 30.10Olympia4:2
  • 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 23.10away · Dizel2:1
  • 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Tambov2:0
  • 25.10.2025Tambov — Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:2 OT
  • 22.01.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Tambov3:1
  • 29.10.2024Tambov — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622
22Krasnoyarsk21901239–52-1318
23Magnitka Magnitogorsk1756631–36-516
24Dyn. Altay19721037–51-1416

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →