NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Boston Bruins — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Boston Bruins are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Boston Bruins — No. 4, 23 pts; Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Boston Bruins 2 wins, Montreal Canadiens 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Montreal Canadiens | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Boston Bruins goals
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Form
- 03.11Vegas Golden Knights3:2 SO
- 31.10Chicago Blackhawks5:4 OT
- 30.10away · St. Louis Blues1:4
- 28.10away · Carolina Hurricanes1:2
- 25.10San Jose Sharks6:4
- 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
- 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
- 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
- 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
- 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Montreal Canadiens — Boston Bruins3:2 OT
- 25.01.2026Boston Bruins — Montreal Canadiens4:3
- 24.12.2025Boston Bruins — Montreal Canadiens2:6
- 16.11.2025Montreal Canadiens — Boston Bruins2:3
- 04.04.2025Montreal Canadiens — Boston Bruins4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- New Jersey DevilsWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Ottawa SenatorsColorado Avalanchepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.9
- Toronto Maple LeafsMinnesota Wildpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Florida PanthersDetroit Red Wingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Chicago BlackhawksBuffalo Sabrespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Utah MammothSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →