NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Ottawa Senators — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Ottawa Senators — No. 12, 19 pts; Colorado Avalanche — No. 10, 19 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ottawa Senators 1 win, Colorado Avalanche 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Ottawa Senators 11, Colorado Avalanche 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Colorado Avalanche | 2.8–3.1 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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Form
- 02.11away · Anaheim Ducks3:6
- 31.10away · San Jose Sharks5:1
- 30.10away · Los Angeles Kings5:6 OT
- 28.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 25.10New York Rangers7:4
- 04.11away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:7
- 03.11away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 01.11Calgary Flames5:2
- 29.10New Jersey Devils5:2
- 26.10away · Nashville Predators2:6
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Ottawa Senators — Colorado Avalanche5:2
- 09.01.2026Colorado Avalanche — Ottawa Senators8:2
- 21.03.2025Ottawa Senators — Colorado Avalanche1:5
- 28.10.2024Colorado Avalanche — Ottawa Senators5:4
- 17.01.2024Ottawa Senators — Colorado Avalanche4:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Colorado Avalanche | 16 | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Dallas Stars | 15 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsMontreal Canadienspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Columbus Blue JacketsTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- New Jersey DevilsWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Toronto Maple LeafsMinnesota Wildpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Florida PanthersDetroit Red Wingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Chicago BlackhawksBuffalo Sabrespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Utah MammothSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →