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NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets

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Model prediction for 13 November

Dallas Stars48%
Draw in regulation23%
Winnipeg Jets28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Stars are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Dallas Stars — No. 11, 19 pts; Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 5 wins, Winnipeg Jets 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets2.8–2.2
Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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Form

Dallas Stars

  • 04.11away · Washington Capitals6:5
  • 01.11Columbus Blue Jackets3:1
  • 30.10Montreal Canadiens2:5
  • 28.10New Jersey Devils1:5
  • 26.10New York Islanders6:3

Winnipeg Jets

  • 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
  • 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
  • 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
  • 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
  • 28.10Florida Panthers1:5

Head to head

  • 23.10.2026Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets3:2 OT
  • 03.04.2026Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets3:0
  • 03.02.2026Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
  • 10.12.2025Winnipeg Jets — Dallas Stars3:4
  • 10.10.2025Winnipeg Jets — Dallas Stars4:5

Full record: 30 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceDallas Stars1591544–36+819
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceOttawa Senators1691652–51+119
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →