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NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Florida Panthers — Detroit Red Wings

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Model prediction for 13 November

Florida Panthers43%
Draw in regulation24%
Detroit Red Wings33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Florida Panthers are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Florida Panthers are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Florida Panthers — No. 14, 18 pts; Detroit Red Wings — No. 17, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Florida Panthers 3 wins, Detroit Red Wings 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Florida Panthers — Detroit Red Wings2.8–2.5
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Florida Panthers
  • Florida Panthers goals
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Form

Florida Panthers

  • 03.11Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 31.10Winnipeg Jets5:2
  • 28.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 25.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 23.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins0:4

Detroit Red Wings

  • 04.11away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
  • 03.11away · Florida Panthers5:3
  • 31.10St. Louis Blues4:5
  • 30.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 27.10away · Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO

Head to head

  • 03.11.2026Florida Panthers — Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 16.04.2026Florida Panthers — Detroit Red Wings8:1
  • 11.03.2026Florida Panthers — Detroit Red Wings4:3
  • 07.03.2026Detroit Red Wings — Florida Panthers1:3
  • 16.10.2025Detroit Red Wings — Florida Panthers4:1

Full record: 30 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618
14Florida Panthers1582547–44+318
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers1681748–47+117
16, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken1481552–52017
17Detroit Red Wings1673648–50-217
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →