NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Columbus Blue Jackets — Tampa Bay Lightning
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Columbus Blue Jackets are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 28, 12 pts; Tampa Bay Lightning — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Columbus Blue Jackets 3 wins, Tampa Bay Lightning 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Tampa Bay Lightning | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Columbus Blue Jackets
- Columbus Blue Jackets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11Colorado Avalanche7:2
- 01.11away · Dallas Stars1:3
- 30.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3
- 28.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:3 OT
- 25.10Vegas Golden Knights2:1 OT
- 04.11Detroit Red Wings4:2
- 31.10away · Nashville Predators4:5 SO
- 30.10Winnipeg Jets6:4
- 25.10away · Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
- 24.10away · Colorado Avalanche3:6
Head to head
- 11.03.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Columbus Blue Jackets2:5
- 25.01.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Tampa Bay Lightning8:5
- 19.10.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Tampa Bay Lightning3:2
- 05.03.2025Tampa Bay Lightning — Columbus Blue Jackets6:2
- 18.12.2024Tampa Bay Lightning — Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 14 | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 16 | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 15 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsMontreal Canadienspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- New Jersey DevilsWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Ottawa SenatorsColorado Avalanchepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.9
- Toronto Maple LeafsMinnesota Wildpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Florida PanthersDetroit Red Wingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Chicago BlackhawksBuffalo Sabrespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Utah MammothSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →