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NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals

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Model prediction for 13 November

New Jersey Devils45%
Draw in regulation23%
Washington Capitals32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New Jersey Devils are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • New Jersey Devils are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: New Jersey Devils — No. 7, 20 pts; Washington Capitals — No. 20, 16 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: New Jersey Devils 2 wins, Washington Capitals 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals3.1–2.7
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 04.11Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO
  • 31.10away · Vegas Golden Knights5:2
  • 29.10away · Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 28.10away · Dallas Stars5:1
  • 24.10Los Angeles Kings3:1

Washington Capitals

  • 04.11Dallas Stars5:6
  • 01.11Minnesota Wild1:5
  • 30.10away · Nashville Predators4:3
  • 29.10Philadelphia Flyers5:2
  • 25.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 17.10.2026Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils4:2
  • 03.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals7:3
  • 21.03.2026Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:1
  • 28.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals3:4 OT
  • 16.11.2025Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:3 SO

Full record: 32 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMontreal Canadiens1593352–47+521
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew Jersey Devils15100552–43+920
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning1492352–45+720
19Buffalo Sabres1473443–49-617
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →