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NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Chicago Blackhawks — Buffalo Sabres

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Model prediction for 13 November

Chicago Blackhawks34%
Draw in regulation23%
Buffalo Sabres44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Buffalo Sabres are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Buffalo Sabres are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Chicago Blackhawks — No. 31, 9 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Chicago Blackhawks: 3 defeats in a row; Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Chicago Blackhawks 0 wins, Buffalo Sabres 5.
  • Days of rest before the match: Chicago Blackhawks 10, Buffalo Sabres 13.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Buffalo Sabres2.7–3.0
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 03.11Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10away · Boston Bruins4:5 OT
  • 30.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:4
  • 28.10Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 25.10Florida Panthers2:3

Buffalo Sabres

  • 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
  • 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
  • 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
  • 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
  • 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Buffalo Sabres — Chicago Blackhawks4:3
  • 14.04.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Buffalo Sabres1:5
  • 22.11.2025Buffalo Sabres — Chicago Blackhawks9:3
  • 28.12.2024Buffalo Sabres — Chicago Blackhawks6:2
  • 20.10.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Buffalo Sabres2:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217
19Buffalo Sabres1473443–49-617
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259
32Vancouver Canucks17311351–77-267

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →