NHL · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Maple Leafs — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minnesota Wild are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Maple Leafs — No. 13, 18 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 3, 25 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Maple Leafs 2 wins, Minnesota Wild 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs — Minnesota Wild | 2.7–3.1 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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Form
- 04.11Utah Mammoth2:3
- 01.11away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 29.10away · Seattle Kraken4:5
- 27.10away · Calgary Flames2:5
- 25.10away · Edmonton Oilers7:2
- 04.11away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
- 01.11away · Washington Capitals5:1
- 30.10New York Islanders3:4 OT
- 28.10away · Utah Mammoth3:1
- 26.10away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Minnesota Wild — Toronto Maple Leafs2:4
- 20.01.2026Toronto Maple Leafs — Minnesota Wild3:6
- 30.01.2025Toronto Maple Leafs — Minnesota Wild1:3
- 04.11.2024Minnesota Wild — Toronto Maple Leafs2:1 OT
- 19.11.2023Minnesota Wild — Toronto Maple Leafs3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 16 | 11 | +19 | 25 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Ottawa Senators | 16 | 9 | +1 | 19 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsMontreal Canadienspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Columbus Blue JacketsTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- New Jersey DevilsWashington Capitalspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Ottawa SenatorsColorado Avalanchepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.9
- Florida PanthersDetroit Red Wingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Chicago BlackhawksBuffalo Sabrespreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Utah MammothSt. Louis Bluespreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →