NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Boston Bruins — Washington Capitals
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Boston Bruins 53%, Washington Capitals 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Boston Bruins — No. 4, 23 pts; Washington Capitals — No. 20, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Boston Bruins 3 wins, Washington Capitals 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Washington Capitals | 2.9–2.8 | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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Form
- 03.11Vegas Golden Knights3:2 SO
- 31.10Chicago Blackhawks5:4 OT
- 30.10away · St. Louis Blues1:4
- 28.10away · Carolina Hurricanes1:2
- 25.10San Jose Sharks6:4
- 04.11Dallas Stars5:6
- 01.11Minnesota Wild1:5
- 30.10away · Nashville Predators4:3
- 29.10Philadelphia Flyers5:2
- 25.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 OT
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Washington Capitals — Boston Bruins2:3 SO
- 07.03.2026Boston Bruins — Washington Capitals3:1
- 09.10.2025Washington Capitals — Boston Bruins1:3
- 02.04.2025Boston Bruins — Washington Capitals3:4
- 31.12.2024Washington Capitals — Boston Bruins3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 14 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Detroit Red WingsNew York Islanderspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Montreal CanadiensPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Ottawa SenatorsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devilspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Winnipeg JetsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →