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NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres

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Model prediction for 22 November

Florida Panthers43%
Draw in regulation23%
Buffalo Sabres34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Florida Panthers are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Florida Panthers are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Florida Panthers — No. 14, 18 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Buffalo Sabres: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Florida Panthers 1 win, Buffalo Sabres 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres2.9–2.6
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Florida Panthers
  • Florida Panthers goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Florida Panthers

  • 03.11Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 31.10Winnipeg Jets5:2
  • 28.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 25.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 23.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins0:4

Buffalo Sabres

  • 31.10away · Los Angeles Kings3:2
  • 30.10away · Anaheim Ducks7:6
  • 28.10away · San Jose Sharks2:0
  • 25.10away · Washington Capitals3:4 OT
  • 22.10Philadelphia Flyers1:3

Head to head

  • 12.10.2026Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers5:3
  • 28.02.2026Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres2:3
  • 03.02.2026Florida Panthers — Buffalo Sabres3:5
  • 13.01.2026Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers3:4
  • 18.10.2025Buffalo Sabres — Florida Panthers3:0

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs1782762–56+618
14Florida Panthers1582547–44+318
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers1681748–47+117
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217
19Buffalo Sabres1473443–49-617
20Washington Capitals1480649–48+116

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →