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NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Nashville Predators — Pittsburgh Penguins

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Model prediction for 22 November

Nashville Predators37%
Draw in regulation23%
Pittsburgh Penguins40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Nashville Predators 48%, Pittsburgh Penguins 52% including overtime.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: Nashville Predators — No. 18, 17 pts; Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 27, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nashville Predators 1 win, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Pittsburgh Penguins2.9–3.0
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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  • Nashville Predators goals
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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 04.11Carolina Hurricanes4:1
  • 31.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 SO
  • 30.10Washington Capitals3:4
  • 28.10New York Islanders3:4 SO
  • 26.10Colorado Avalanche6:2

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 04.11Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 01.11away · Montreal Canadiens4:5
  • 30.10Utah Mammoth3:4 OT
  • 25.10Nashville Predators3:2 OT
  • 23.10Florida Panthers4:0

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators3:2 OT
  • 16.11.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators4:0
  • 14.11.2025Nashville Predators — Pittsburgh Penguins2:1 OT
  • 02.02.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators3:0
  • 20.12.2024Nashville Predators — Pittsburgh Penguins4:5 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
17Detroit Red Wings1673648–50-217
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217
19Buffalo Sabres1473443–49-617
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312
28Columbus Blue Jackets1360736–41-512

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →