NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Winnipeg Jets — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts; Vegas Golden Knights — No. 5, 22 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 2 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.5–2.8 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
- 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
- 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
- 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
- 28.10Florida Panthers1:5
- 04.11away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 03.11away · Boston Bruins2:3 SO
- 31.10New Jersey Devils2:5
- 28.10Ottawa Senators4:1
- 25.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT
Head to head
- 14.04.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Winnipeg Jets6:2
- 25.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Vegas Golden Knights4:1
- 07.01.2026Winnipeg Jets — Vegas Golden Knights3:4 OT
- 04.04.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Winnipeg Jets0:4
- 13.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Vegas Golden Knights2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 25 | Calgary Flames | 15 | 7 | -15 | 14 |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets | 16 | 5 | -19 | 13 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 15 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Boston BruinsWashington Capitalspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Detroit Red WingsNew York Islanderspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Montreal CanadiensPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Ottawa SenatorsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devilspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →