NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Detroit Red Wings — New York Islanders
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Detroit Red Wings 53%, New York Islanders 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Detroit Red Wings — No. 17, 17 pts; New York Islanders — No. 21, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 3 wins, New York Islanders 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — New York Islanders | 2.6–2.5 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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Form
- 04.11away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
- 03.11away · Florida Panthers5:3
- 31.10St. Louis Blues4:5
- 30.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
- 27.10away · Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO
- 31.10Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 30.10away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
- 28.10away · Nashville Predators4:3 SO
- 26.10away · Dallas Stars3:6
- 23.10Los Angeles Kings2:3 OT
Head to head
- 17.12.2025Detroit Red Wings — New York Islanders3:2
- 21.11.2025Detroit Red Wings — New York Islanders0:5
- 24.10.2025New York Islanders — Detroit Red Wings7:2
- 26.11.2024New York Islanders — Detroit Red Wings2:4
- 22.11.2024Detroit Red Wings — New York Islanders2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 14 | 8 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Detroit Red Wings | 16 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Nashville Predators | 15 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 14 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
| 22 | St. Louis Blues | 15 | 7 | 0 | 15 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Boston BruinsWashington Capitalspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Montreal CanadiensPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Ottawa SenatorsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devilspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Winnipeg JetsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →