NHL · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Montreal Canadiens — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montreal Canadiens are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Montreal Canadiens are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 29, 12 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 1 win, Philadelphia Flyers 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.7–2.3 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
- 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
- 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
- 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
- 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1
- 04.11Minnesota Wild2:4
- 02.11Utah Mammoth6:3
- 29.10away · Washington Capitals2:5
- 28.10Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 OT
- 24.10Anaheim Ducks4:5
Head to head
- 15.04.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Montreal Canadiens4:2
- 17.12.2025Montreal Canadiens — Philadelphia Flyers1:4
- 05.11.2025Montreal Canadiens — Philadelphia Flyers4:5 SO
- 06.04.2025Montreal Canadiens — Philadelphia Flyers3:2
- 28.03.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Montreal Canadiens6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 28 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 13 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 29 | Philadelphia Flyers | 17 | 4 | -21 | 12 |
| 30 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
NHL on the same day
- Florida PanthersBuffalo Sabrespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguinspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- Boston BruinsWashington Capitalspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Detroit Red WingsNew York Islanderspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Ottawa SenatorsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devilspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.5
- Toronto Maple LeafsColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Winnipeg JetsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →